Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 102.836996 116.803362 132.195205 150.453928 171.570914 195.282577 224.003633
2026-01-04 83.939345 102.477321 124.615340 153.149560 189.166567 233.397324 292.256831
2026-01-11 71.166405 91.386342 116.939098 151.891076 198.903318 260.580541 348.666067
2026-01-18 63.919327 85.530722 114.138719 155.246226 213.565043 294.490637 417.315798
2026-01-25 57.197762 79.213582 109.513415 154.907748 222.312229 320.491676 477.648843
2026-02-01 52.371294 74.784001 106.722325 156.406851 233.304994 350.409188 547.347954
2026-02-08 47.266993 69.308374 101.682077 153.731752 237.292708 369.682400 602.429158
2026-02-15 43.907920 66.016762 99.434809 154.882274 247.086738 398.885413 677.593073
2026-02-22 41.143128 63.319111 97.748587 156.589477 257.748829 430.491642 761.168003
2026-03-01 37.595169 59.037462 93.110435 152.864889 258.641283 445.200240 815.854858
2026-03-08 34.631746 55.424115 89.195593 149.887274 260.354943 461.315375 875.180833
2026-03-15 32.299113 52.642334 86.389764 148.493766 264.641987 482.453071 947.226885
2026-03-22 30.976372 51.645857 86.851050 153.596072 282.777718 534.571008 1096.876565
2026-03-29 29.386752 50.069477 86.198856 156.690880 297.739421 583.242390 1250.116214
2026-04-05 27.330211 47.464410 83.430615 155.419250 303.815046 614.587213 1370.741141
2026-04-12 26.129715 46.284012 83.128903 158.862712 319.921544 669.531416 1557.936716
2026-04-19 24.562484 44.277301 81.069242 158.515494 327.904456 707.748851 1712.078623
2026-04-26 23.367382 42.862556 79.998828 160.053622 340.162753 757.563714 1906.846979
2026-05-03 21.804912 40.605337 77.063301 157.308924 342.382800 783.953628 2044.495730
2026-05-10 20.794926 39.345495 76.003301 158.489362 353.827147 834.651380 2261.846390
2026-05-17 19.921734 38.283879 75.245412 160.241004 366.854366 891.463535 2510.753455
2026-05-24 18.597736 36.200784 72.179263 156.419537 365.711851 911.134749 2651.250646
2026-05-31 17.452021 34.399835 69.561672 153.364672 366.109547 935.056847 2811.267234